Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for New Zealand Under-23s had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a New Zealand Under-23s win it was 0-1 (6.36%).

Result
Japan Under-23s	Draw	New Zealand Under-23s
54.89%	23.5%	21.61%

Both teams to score 52.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.17%

47.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.98%

70.01%

Japan Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.7%

17.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.35%

47.64%

New Zealand Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.51%

36.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73%

73.27%

Score Analysis

Japan Under-23s 54.89%

New Zealand Under-23s 21.61%

Draw 23.49%

Japan Under-23s	Draw	New Zealand Under-23s
1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 9.71% 3-1 @ 5.73% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.74% Total : 54.89%	1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.49%	0-1 @ 6.36% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.61%