Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 22, 2021 at 11.30am UK

Sapporo Dome

Argentina U23s
0 - 2
Australia U23s

Ortega (45+1'), Gaich (63'), Medina (67'), Ponce (85')
Ortega (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wales (14'), Tilio (80')
Duke (32'), McGree (45+3'), Atkinson (48'), Metcalfe (50'), Genreau (56'), Souttar (86'), Watts (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Argentina Under-23s and Australia Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina Under-23s win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Australia Under-23s had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Australia Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Argentina Under-23s	Draw	Australia Under-23s
46.47%	23.1%	30.42%

Both teams to score 62.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.49%

38.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.19%

60.81%

Argentina Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.06%

16.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.99%

47.01%

Australia Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.32%

24.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.79%

59.2%

Score Analysis

Argentina Under-23s 46.47%

Australia Under-23s 30.42%

Draw 23.1%

Argentina Under-23s	Draw	Australia Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 4.22% Total : 46.47%	1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 6.45% 0-0 @ 4.18% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.1%	1-2 @ 7.27% 0-1 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.42%