It is all or nothing for Ukraine and Argentina on Tuesday and the two nations will need no extra motivation given the stakes of the game. While we expect Ukraine to put up a fight, Mascherano's side boast the quality and firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to come away with all three points at the Parc Olympique Lyonnais. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine Under-23s win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 1-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Argentina Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Argentina Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Ukraine Under-23s	Draw	Argentina Under-23s
54.64% ( 0.16)	21.15% ( -0.05)	24.21% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 64.14% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.92% (

0.11)

34.08% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.05% (

0.13)

55.95% (

-0.13)

Ukraine Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.39% (

0.09)

12.61% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.27% (

0.18)

38.73% (

-0.17)

Argentina Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.4% (

-0.02)

26.6% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.17% (

-0.03)

61.83% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Ukraine Under-23s 54.64%

Argentina Under-23s 24.21%

Draw 21.15%

Ukraine Under-23s	Draw	Argentina Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 54.64%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.15%	1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 24.21%