NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stangmore Park
Dungannon1 - 4Crusaders
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Crusaders.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dungannon 0-0 Larne
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Crusaders 1-0 Ballymena
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Crusaders |
17.37% ( -0.37) | 20.79% ( -0.04) | 61.84% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
