MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 02:18:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 27
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
3 - 0
Dungannon

Forsythe (20' pen.), Heatley (56'), Lecky (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Knowles (28'), McGee (37'), Scott (71'), Scott (80')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glentoran 2-0 Crusaders
Monday, January 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 0-3 Coleraine
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 85.18%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 4.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.09%) and 4-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
85.18% (0.0069999999999908 0.01) 10.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0) 4.33% (-0.0058999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 39.2% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)33.17% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.07% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)54.92% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)5.47% (0.0030999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.64% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)21.36% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)58.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.12% (-0.02 -0.02)89.88% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 85.17%
    Dungannon Swifts 4.33%
    Draw 10.49%
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
2-0 @ 13.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 13.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 9.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-0 @ 5.53% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 5.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
6-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
7-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 85.17%
1-1 @ 4.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.2% (0.004 0)
2-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 10.49%
0-1 @ 1.71%
1-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 4.33%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Dungannon
0-2
Crusaders

O'Connor (13')
Lowry (1'), Larmour (48')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
5-1
Dungannon
Heatley (7', 68'), Barr (37' og.), Kennedy (48', 65')
Campbell (45+2')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Dungannon
2-4
Crusaders
Campbell (4'), Gallagher (90+3')
Breen (10'), Knowles (36'), (88')
Lecky (11'), Heatley (25', 80'), Doyle (86')
Thompson (55')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
4-0
Dungannon
Robinson (24'), Clarke (25'), Kennedy (45+1', 61')
Joe Burns (42'), Weir (80')

McGinty (42'), Quinn (80'), Glynn (80')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Dungannon
0-2
Crusaders

Cowan (35'), Knowles (37'), McGee (41'), Mayse (84'), Smyth (88')
Lecky (18'), Caddell (43')
Heatley (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield22153440162448
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2311392926336
3GlentoranGlentoran2210572620635
4PortadownPortadown2110472821734
5CliftonvilleCliftonville219482823531
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena21101102727031
7CrusadersCrusaders219392627-130
8ColeraineColeraine217683432227
9LarneLarne167541712526
10GlenavonGlenavon2257101930-1122
11Carrick RangersCarrick2055102030-1020
12Loughgall2234152353-3013


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