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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
2 - 0
Linfield

Forsythe (6'), Lowry (59')
Lowry (42'), Winchester (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Palmer (65'), Shields (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 0-0 Crusaders
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 3-0 Ballymena
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawLinfield
44.89% (1.375 1.38) 26.27% (-0.579 -0.58) 28.85% (-0.792 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.97% (1.304 1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (1.887 1.89)53.28% (-1.885 -1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (1.578 1.58)74.83% (-1.576 -1.58)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (1.513 1.51)23.65% (-1.51 -1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (2.133 2.13)57.74% (-2.13 -2.13)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75% (0.393 0.39)33.25% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (0.431 0.43)69.86% (-0.428 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 44.88%
    Linfield 28.85%
    Draw 26.26%
CrusadersDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.287 0.29)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.222 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.182 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.166 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.601 -0.6)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.562 -0.56)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 28.85%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 5.30pm
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
2-1
Linfield
Lowry (59'), Forsythe (82')
Cooper (47')
Cooper (39')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-2
Linfield
Forsythe (45')
Callacher (35'), Devine (70')
Vertainen (51'), (85')
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Linfield
3-2
Crusaders
McKee (20'), Shields (45+1' pen.), Devine (90+4')
(58'), Shields (82')
McMurray (25'), Kennedy (59' pen.)
(45'), (45+3')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
2-1
Linfield
Heatley (51'), Kennedy (83')
McMurray (25'), Caddell (64'), Robinson (73')
Manzinga (42')
Manzinga (62'), Stewart (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LinfieldLinfield35264566254182
2GlentoranGlentoran35169104334957
3LarneLarne351511942311156
4ColeraineColeraine351410115345852
5Dungannon SwiftsDungannon35156144744351
6CrusadersCrusaders35156144448-451
Relegation Round
1CliftonvilleCliftonville351571352381452
2PortadownPortadown35138144143-247
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena35144174549-446
4GlenavonGlenavon351010153645-940
5Carrick RangersCarrick3579192952-2330
6Loughgall3556243276-4421
 
Regular Season
1LinfieldLinfield33244561233876
2LarneLarne33159939281154
3GlentoranGlentoran3315994031954
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon33155134440450
5CrusadersCrusaders33155134143-250
6ColeraineColeraine331310104941849
7CliftonvilleCliftonville33137134437746
8PortadownPortadown33137133938146
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena33134164042-243
10GlenavonGlenavon33109143543-839
11Carrick RangersCarrick3369182448-2427
12Loughgall3346232971-4218


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