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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
2 - 0
Linfield

Forsythe (6'), Lowry (59')
Lowry (42'), Winchester (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Palmer (65'), Shields (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 0-0 Crusaders
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 3-0 Ballymena
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawLinfield
44.89% (1.375 1.38) 26.27% (-0.579 -0.58) 28.85% (-0.792 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.97% (1.304 1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (1.887 1.89)53.28% (-1.885 -1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (1.578 1.58)74.83% (-1.576 -1.58)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (1.513 1.51)23.65% (-1.51 -1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (2.133 2.13)57.74% (-2.13 -2.13)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75% (0.393 0.39)33.25% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (0.431 0.43)69.86% (-0.428 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 44.88%
    Linfield 28.85%
    Draw 26.26%
CrusadersDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.287 0.29)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.222 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.182 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.166 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.601 -0.6)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.562 -0.56)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 28.85%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 5.30pm
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
2-1
Linfield
Lowry (59'), Forsythe (82')
Cooper (47')
Cooper (39')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-2
Linfield
Forsythe (45')
Callacher (35'), Devine (70')
Vertainen (51'), (85')
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Linfield
3-2
Crusaders
McKee (20'), Shields (45+1' pen.), Devine (90+4')
(58'), Shields (82')
McMurray (25'), Kennedy (59' pen.)
(45'), (45+3')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
2-1
Linfield
Heatley (51'), Kennedy (83')
McMurray (25'), Caddell (64'), Robinson (73')
Manzinga (42')
Manzinga (62'), Stewart (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1793526161030
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon189272421329
4PortadownPortadown178452417728
5GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
7CrusadersCrusaders168262018226
8ColeraineColeraine187472924525
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick1743101829-1115
11GlenavonGlenavon183691125-1415
12Loughgall1832131846-2811


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