Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidstone United | Draw | Eastleigh |
37.16% ( -0.84) | 24.86% ( -0.04) | 37.98% ( 0.89) |
Both teams to score 58.26% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.98% ( 0.21) | 45.02% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.63% ( 0.2) | 67.37% ( -0.2) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( -0.35) | 23.89% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( -0.51) | 58.09% ( 0.51) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.54% ( 0.56) | 23.45% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.53% ( 0.81) | 57.47% ( -0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Maidstone United | Draw | Eastleigh |
2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 25 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 9 |
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