National League

Jun 20, 2021 at 2pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Hartlepool
1 - 1
Torquay Utd

Armstrong (35')
Johnson (7'), Oates (56'), Armstrong (80')

FT
(aet)

Lucas (90+5')
Moxey (45'), Lewis (56'), Little (76')

Hartlepool win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Torquay goalkeeper Lucas Covolan threatened to derail Pools' quest to win the National League play-off final with a last-minute equaliser.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's National League clash between Hartlepool United and Torquay United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%).

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Torquay United
38.27%	27.45%	34.28%

Both teams to score 49.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.74%

56.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.7%

77.3%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.49%

28.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.71%

64.29%

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.03%

30.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.73%

67.27%

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 38.26%

Torquay United 34.27%

Draw 27.44%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Torquay United
1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.26%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.27%