Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chorley in this match.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
41.56% ( 0.05)	27.23% ( -0.02)	31.2% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.2% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.92% (

0.06)

56.08% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.84% (

0.04)

77.16% (

-0.05)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.41% (

0.05)

26.59% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.19% (

0.07)

61.81% (

-0.07)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02% (

0.01)

32.98% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44% (

0.01)

69.56% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Chorley 41.56%

Kidderminster Harriers 31.2%

Draw 27.23%

Chorley	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.56%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.2%