Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
LA Galaxy3 - 3St Louis City
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 10 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 10 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 St Louis City
This is a fascinating contest between one of the most successful teams in MLS history and the newest club to join the division, with both teams collecting five points from their opening three matches. LA Galaxy have massively underperformed in recent seasons whereas St Louis topped the Western Conference last time out, so we can envisage an entertaining score draw when they meet on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | St Louis City |
59.25% ( 0.89) | 20.51% ( -0.2) | 20.24% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 60.65% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.88% ( -0.06) | 36.13% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.77% ( -0.07) | 58.24% ( 0.07) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.04% ( 0.23) | 11.96% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.64% ( 0.48) | 37.36% ( -0.48) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( -0.68) | 31.12% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.56% ( -0.8) | 67.44% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy 59.25%
St Louis City 20.24%
Draw 20.51%
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 59.25% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.51% | 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.66% Total : 20.24% |
How you voted: LA Galaxy vs St Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
62.5%Draw
25.0%St Louis City
12.5%8
Form Guide
