Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.