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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
St Louis City

Austin
2 - 2
St Louis City

Hedges (14'), Cascante (51')
Cascante (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lowen (49' pen.), Pompeu (90+3')
Pompeu (31'), Parker (61'), Totland (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Austin
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 2-0 NY City
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-3 St Louis City

St Louis City have had the better of Austin FC in both the previous meetings between these two sides, scoring a massive nine goals in just two games. We expect the hosts to continue this record against their upcoming opponents with another big victory at the Q2 Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawSt Louis City
66.33% (0.13900000000001 0.14) 19.29% (-0.064 -0.06) 14.38% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.92% (0.13999999999999 0.14)41.08% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (0.143 0.14)63.47% (-0.141 -0.14)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.48% (0.078999999999994 0.08)11.52% (-0.077 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.58% (0.168 0.17)36.42% (-0.166 -0.17)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)40.87% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)77.44% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 66.33%
    St Louis City 14.38%
    Draw 19.29%
Austin FCDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.99%
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.92% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.28% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.83% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.85% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 66.33%
1-1 @ 9.11% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.29%
0-1 @ 4.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 14.38%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 2.30am
St Louis City
6-3
Austin
Parker (22'), Gioacchini (45+2', 50'), Adeniran (72', 90+5'), Ostrak (88')
Blom (17')
Driussi (61' pen.), Bruin (87'), Rigoni (90+1')
Feb 26, 2023 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218


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