Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.