Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 19.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.