Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
39.99% | 24.02% | 35.99% |
Both teams to score 61.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.94% | 41.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.55% | 63.45% |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.28% | 20.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.67% | 53.32% |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.29% | 22.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.63% | 56.37% |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 8.64% 1-0 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.85% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.41% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-1 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 4.02% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |