Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 23 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 22 | 4 | 30 |
5 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | -8 | 28 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 23 | 25 | 45 |
2 | New York City FC | 22 | 21 | 42 |
3 | CF Montreal | 23 | 1 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | New York City FC |
39.28% ( -1.45) | 26.96% ( 0.28) | 33.76% ( 1.17) |
Both teams to score 50.77% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.57% ( -0.89) | 54.43% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.2% ( -0.75) | 75.8% ( 0.75) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.94% ( -1.21) | 27.06% ( 1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.57% ( -1.6) | 62.43% ( 1.6) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.61% ( 0.32) | 30.39% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.42% ( 0.38) | 66.58% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |