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Attendance: 11,209
Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 35
Feb 26, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Birmingham logo

0-0

FT

Preview: Millwall vs. Birmingham City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews the Championship clash between Millwall and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Millwall host Birmingham City at The Den on Wednesday as both clubs look to consolidate in mid-table and make a late charge towards the playoff places.

The pair sit 11th and 14th in the Championship table, respectively, and have a sizeable cushion between themselves and the relegation zone, but also have plenty of ground to make up on the top six.


Match preview

Birmingham City players celebrate after Bristol City's Andreas Weimann scored an own goal and the second goal for Birmingham City on February 7, 2020© Reuters

Millwall's excellent form between November and mid-January saw them surge into playoff contention, but their momentum has recently given way to a poor patch.

Gary Rowett's side have won just once in their last seven games across all competitions - one in six in the league - and have slipped seven points off the playoff places.

The reverse fixture at St. Andrew's in November saw the points shared after a 1-1 draw, but Millwall need wins if they are to close the gap that is starting to open up.

Millwall's last outing saw them beaten 1-0 by Wigan Athletic, who are in the relegation zone, in a damaging defeat that was indicative of the low confidence in Rowett's squad at present.

Birmingham, on the other hand, are flying at the moment. The Blues find themselves unbeaten in 11 games across all competitions, with eight of those games coming in the Championship.

Rowett's former employers are now managed by Pep Clotet, who has instilled an attractive brand of football that has seen Birmingham score in 11 consecutive league games.

However, they have managed just one clean sheet in that run and have recorded only six across all competitions so far this term.

Their last outing - a six-goal thriller that ended in a 3-3 draw against Sheffield Wednesday - encapsulates their philosophy this season under the Spaniard.

Millwall Championship form: LDLDWL

Birmingham City Championship form: DWWWDD
Birmingham City form (all competitions): WWWWDD


Team News

Millwall boss Gary Rowett on February 15, 2020© Reuters

Millwall manager Rowett has just a trio of players unavailable for selection ahead of Birmingham's visit to The Den.

Shaun Williams, Frank Fielding and Ben Thompson are all sidelined with injury and are not expected back for some time.

Birmingham head coach Clotet has the same number of players missing as he prepares his squad for a trip to London.

Josh McEachran is out for the rest of the campaign after sustaining an ACL injury and is aiming to return in November.

Meanwhile, Kerim Mrabti and Jacques Maghoma are both out, but should be returning within the next few weeks.

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Hutchinson, Pearce, Cooper; Romeo, Molumby, Woods, M. Wallace; J. Wallace, Bradshaw, Bodvarsson

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Camp; Colin, Roberts, Clarke-Salter, Pedersen; Bela, Gardner, Sunjic, Bellingham; Hogan, Jutkiewicz


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Millwall 0-1 Birmingham City

Millwall are strong at home, but Birmingham seem to have clicked under Clotet and could further extend their unbeaten run in London with a narrow victory.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%).


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Millwall boss Gary Rowett on February 15, 2020
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Tables header RHS
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1Leeds UnitedLeeds17105231121935
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1711422491535
3Burnley179622161533
4Sunderland1796226121433
5Watford179262624229
6Middlesbrough178362920927
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom176921811727
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn167452017325
9Millwall166641914524
10Norwich CityNorwich175753125622
11Swansea CitySwansea176471615122
12Bristol City175752021-122
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds176472026-622
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15Derby CountyDerby175572122-120
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17Coventry CityCoventry174582225-317
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd174581927-817
19Preston North EndPreston173861624-817
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth174581834-1617
21Cardiff CityCardiff174491526-1116
22Hull City173681623-715
23Queens Park RangersQPR172871526-1114
24Portsmouth152671628-1212


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