Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.