MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:51:51| >> :60:391:391:
FC Cincinnati
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Oct 28, 2024 at 10.45pm UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
New York City

Cincinnati
1 - 0
NY City

Rodrigo Asad (51')
Orellano (29'), Rodrigo Asad (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sands (41'), Moralez (82')
Gray (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-2 Cincinnati
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 NY City
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FC

 Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture over the years, and we can see Tuesday's clash following suit.   That said, we are backing the home side to emerge victorious in front of their fans and put themselves in the driving seat to go through to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
51.71% (-0.509 -0.51) 22.19% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 26.1% (0.429 0.43)
Both teams to score 62.39% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.74% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)37.26% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.53% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)59.47% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-0.17 -0.17)14.62% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.27% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)42.72% (0.33 0.33)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (0.31 0.31)26.92% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75% (0.401 0.4)62.25% (-0.398 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 51.71%
    New York City FC 26.1%
    Draw 22.19%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 2.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 51.71%
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.39% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.1%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY City

FC Cincinnati
57.9%
Draw
15.8%
New York City FC
26.3%
57
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
NY City
3-2
Cincinnati
Ilencic (16'), Martinez (65'), Rodriguez (75' pen.)
Sands (41'), Martins (66'), Perea (84'), Gray (90+1'), Wolf (90+14')
Acosta (69' pen.), Baird (90+6')
Kelsy (34')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Cincinnati
4-2
NY City
Bucha (79'), Rodrigo Asad (82'), Kubo (86'), Santos (89')
Nwobodo (78')
Rodriguez (25'), Mijatovic (61')
Fernandez (33'), Wolf (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
Cincinnati
1-0
NY City
Acosta (57')
Acosta (20')

Perea (45+5')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY City
Boupendza (6'), Moreno (52'), Hagglund (59')
Miazga (45'), Kubo (50')

Risa (88'), Perea (90+2')
> Preview
Jun 1, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-3
Cincinnati
Cufre (64')
Cufre (41'), Chanot (53'), Sands (56'), Gray (58'), Pereira (66'), Alfaro (82'), Morales (88')
Acosta (38'), Barreal (59'), Vazquez (70' pen.)
Mosquera (43'), Vazquez (45+5'), Acosta (50'), Gaddis (90+1')
> Preview
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