Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Angers had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Angers |
47.32% ( 0.6) | 26.34% ( 0.26) | 26.34% ( -0.87) |
Both teams to score 49.02% ( -1.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.04% ( -1.53) | 54.96% ( 1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.76% ( -1.28) | 76.24% ( 1.28) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.77% ( -0.38) | 23.23% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.86% ( -0.55) | 57.14% ( 0.55) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.85% ( -1.54) | 36.15% ( 1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.07% ( -1.59) | 72.93% ( 1.59) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 47.32% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.9% Total : 26.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |