Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.28%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 8.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.55%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lorient |
77.28% | 14.1% | 8.62% |
Both teams to score 51.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.81% | 32.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.21% | 53.79% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.23% | 6.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.01% | 24.99% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.14% | 44.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.18% | 80.82% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 11.01% 3-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 8.83% 1-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 7.93% 4-0 @ 6.66% 4-1 @ 5.34% 5-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 3.18% 5-1 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 2.14% 6-0 @ 1.61% 6-1 @ 1.29% 5-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.62% Total : 77.28% | 1-1 @ 6.55% 2-2 @ 3.54% 0-0 @ 3.04% Other @ 0.98% Total : 14.1% | 1-2 @ 2.63% 0-1 @ 2.43% 0-2 @ 0.98% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.64% Total : 8.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |