Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.28%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 8.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.55%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.