Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 6, 2022 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
4 - 0
Clermont

Bamba (3'), David (71'), Celik (84'), Zhegrova (90')
Gourvennec (40'), Ben Arfa (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Abdul Samed (36'), Seidu (66')
Abdul Samed (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Nice 1-3 Lille
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: Lille vs. Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Nantes	37	7	54
10	Lille	37	0	54
11	Brest	37	-6	48

Clermont

Last Six:

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-0 Clermont
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: Clermont vs. Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Troyes	37	-16	37
16	Clermont	37	-30	36
17	Lorient	37	-28	35

With David enduring a dry spell in front of goal and Lille flattering to deceive in front of their own fans in recent weeks, the stage could be set for another shock Clermont victory. However, the visitors are fighting an uphill battle to break down this staunch Dogues backline, and we expect the champions' defensive resilience to see them through to a routine success, so long as they can discover some sort of attacking bite. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Clermont
57.2%	23.86%	18.95%

Both teams to score 47.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.47%

52.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81%

74.19%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82%

18.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.83%

49.17%

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.01%

41.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.57%

78.43%

Score Analysis

Lille 57.19%

Clermont 18.95%

Draw 23.85%

Lille	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 13.01% 2-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 5.47% 4-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.36% Total : 57.19%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 6.62% 1-2 @ 4.9% 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.95%