MX23RW : Monday, November 25 01:43:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 13
Oct 23, 2024 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
5 - 0
Puebla

Pereira (15'), Violante (37'), Vega (52'), Paulinho (56', 90+4')
Garcia (29'), Pereira (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Queretaro 0-1 Toluca
Saturday, October 19 at 2am in Liga MX

Puebla

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 Cruz Azul
Saturday, October 19 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 11.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawPuebla
72.81% (3.478 3.48) 16.18% (-1.15 -1.15) 11.01% (-2.33 -2.33)
Both teams to score 53.19% (-3.461 -3.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21% (-0.696 -0.7)34.79% (0.694 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.25% (-0.783 -0.78)56.75% (0.781 0.78)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.72% (0.59099999999999 0.59)8.28% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.08% (1.452 1.45)28.91% (-1.456 -1.46)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.99% (-4.175 -4.18)42.01% (4.174 4.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.55% (-3.837 -3.84)78.44% (3.833 3.83)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 72.81%
    Puebla 11.01%
    Draw 16.18%
TolucaDrawPuebla
2-0 @ 10.79% (0.941 0.94)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-0 @ 8.96% (1.013 1.01)
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.535 0.54)
3-1 @ 7.77% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 5.58% (0.768 0.77)
4-1 @ 4.84% (0.162 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.384 -0.38)
5-0 @ 2.78% (0.449 0.45)
5-1 @ 2.41% (0.146 0.15)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.175 -0.18)
6-0 @ 1.15% (0.213 0.21)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.055 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 72.81%
1-1 @ 7.52% (-0.387 -0.39)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.591 -0.59)
0-0 @ 3.48% (0.122 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.241 -0.24)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.18%
1-2 @ 3.26% (-0.581 -0.58)
0-1 @ 3.02% (-0.246 -0.25)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.333 -0.33)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.302 -0.3)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 11.01%

Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 1am
Gameweek 3
Puebla
1-1
Toluca
Navarro (23')
Sansores (41'), de Buen (54'), Velasco (62')
Morales (45+3')
Baeza (56'), Ruiz (63'), Pereira (74')
Nov 1, 2023 1am
Gameweek 15
Toluca
0-1
Puebla

Araujo (31'), Ruiz (76'), Baeza (76')
Martinez (78' pen.)
de Buen (45'), Baltazar (89')
Apr 8, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 14
Puebla
1-2
Toluca
Waller (75')
Lopez (8'), Volpi (15' pen.)
Aug 3, 2022 2am
Gameweek 16
Toluca
1-1
Puebla
Mosquera (83')
Fernandez (17')
Apr 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 12
Toluca
2-1
Puebla
Castaneda (19'), Huerta (45')
Ortega (47'), Baeza (75'), Sierra (78'), Garcia (81'), Sanvezzo (90+5')
Reyes (45+3')
Robles (39'), Barragan (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!