Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atlas.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Atlas |
| 44.36% | 26.08% | 29.57% |
| Both teams to score 51.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.82% | 52.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.11% | 73.89% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% | 23.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.58% | 57.42% |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% | 32.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.38% | 68.62% |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 44.35%
Atlas 29.57%
Draw 26.07%
| Toluca | Draw | Atlas |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.35% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.57% |
