Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
