Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Juarez in this match.

Result
Juarez	Draw	Santos Laguna
40.14% ( 0.56)	25.05% ( 0)	34.81% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 57.31% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.86% (

-0.12)

46.13% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.56% (

-0.11)

68.43% (

0.1)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

0.23)

22.85% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.42% (

0.34)

56.58% (

-0.34)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.28% (

-0.38)

25.72% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.36% (

-0.52)

60.64% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Juarez 40.14%

Santos Laguna 34.81%

Draw 25.05%

Juarez	Draw	Santos Laguna
2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.14%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05%	1-2 @ 8% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.81%