Despite their overwhelming experience and quality on paper, Chivas's final ball has let them down many times in recent outings, and it may take some time for them to regain their confidence in front of goal.
Tijuana showed plenty of poise and resilience in their opening game, while they look like a more dynamic and creative group that could create some surprises this season, including on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.
-0.02) 
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