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Premier League | Gameweek 20

Mar 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
0 - 3
Aston Villa

Koch (45+1'), Gelhardt (67'), Firpo (81'), James (86'), Raphinha (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Coutinho (22'), Cash (65'), Chambers (73')
Watkins (17'), Mings (47'), Luiz (62')

Preview: Leeds United vs. Aston Villa - prediction, team news, lineups

By Jonathan O'Shea | 26 December 2021

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Intro text here

Match preview

Leeds United's Raphinha pictured on November 30, 2021 © Reuters

One of the three Boxing Day games that have been postponed is Leeds' trip to Liverpool, because of a Covid outbreak at the Yorkshire club on top of their injury problems, meaning it is unclear if Villa's match at Elland Road will go ahead.

training ground at Thorp Arch was closed for a period of two days on the advice of Public Health England...Leeds saw their Boxing Day clash against Liverpool at Anfield called off following five new Covid cases in the Whites squad and coaching staff, which meant United couldn't field a competitive line-up.

Have won just three times this term - a dismal hit rate of one in six - and are only-----points above the drop zone, despite having played more games than most of their relegation rivals.

Aston Villa's Jacob Ramsey celebrates scoring their first goal with Ashley Young on December 14, 2021 © Reuters

Aston Villa......

Steven Gerrard will miss the next two Premier League games after testing positive for Covid-19. Gerrard missed the Villans' Boxing Day game at home to Chelsea and is out of Tuesday's trip to Leeds....

Villa were forced to postpone their game against Burnley last Saturday because of an outbreak of the virus at the club.....Assistant coach Michael Beale is expected to take Gerrard's place

After slipping from eighth to 17th in space of just five games, since Gerrard's appointment, Villa have won four out of their six Premier League games - with two defeats coming against Manchester City and his former club Liverpool....just five goals conceded in six games, three of which were against the Premier League's two best teams.

tighter together and shifting as a team, which makes it really hard for other teams against us. So people are seeing what we're about."He's brought a lot really, a lot of intensity in training, energy to our play, we've got a style of play,

Leeds United Premier League form:

Aston Villa Premier League form:

Team News

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Team News text here

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Lineup here

Aston Villa possible starting lineup:
Lineup here

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We say: Leeds United X-Y Aston Villa

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Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.