MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 11:49:40| >> :60:13:13:
Atlanta United
Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 4, 2024 at 9pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
0 - 0
Santos Laguna


Lennon (11'), Muyumba (54'), Silva (60')
FT

Carrillo (54'), Lozano (60'), Nunez (61'), Amione (90+6'), Amione (90+6')
Santos Laguna win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Leagues Cup clash between Atlanta United and Santos Laguna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-3 DC United
Thursday, August 1 at 1am in Leagues Cup

We said: Atlanta United 3-1 Santos Laguna

Anything can happen in a winner-take-all scenario, but Santos Laguna appear to be psychologically broken, which is why we project the Five Stripes will win comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.11%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawSantos Laguna
49.52% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 21.18% (-0.245 -0.25) 29.3% (0.196 0.2)
Both teams to score 69.07% (1.106 1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.29% (1.374 1.37)29.71% (-1.368 -1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.16% (1.643 1.64)50.84% (-1.637 -1.64)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (0.512 0.51)12.63% (-0.507 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.23% (1.041 1.04)38.76% (-1.037 -1.04)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.81100000000001 0.81)20.95% (-0.807 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.3% (1.249 1.25)53.69% (-1.244 -1.24)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 49.52%
    Santos Laguna 29.3%
    Draw 21.18%
Atlanta UnitedDrawSantos Laguna
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.11% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-0 @ 5.48% (-0.326 -0.33)
3-2 @ 4.77% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.075 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.47% (0.117 0.12)
4-0 @ 2.02%
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.055 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.29% (0.091 0.09)
5-2 @ 1.02% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 49.52%
1-1 @ 8.56% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-2 @ 6.92% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.65% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-3 @ 2.49% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.18%
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.223 -0.22)
2-3 @ 3.61% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.081 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.054 0.05)
3-4 @ 0.97% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.3%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Santos Laguna

Atlanta United
96.0%
Draw
4.0%
Santos Laguna
0.0%
25
rhs 2.0
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