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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Napoli logo

Monza
2 - 4
Napoli

Djuric (9'), Colpani (62')
Donati (42'), Akpa-Akpro (46'), Caldirola (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Osimhen (55'), Politano (57'), Zielinski (61'), Raspadori (69')
Ngonge (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Monza
Saturday, March 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-3 Atalanta
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Monza 1-1 Napoli

Stature aside, there has been little to separate these clubs this season, as both have been inconsistent and are gravitating towards mid-table. A low-scoring draw could be on the cards, then, with misfiring Napoli being frustrated again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawNapoli
29.97% (0.174 0.17) 24.85% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 45.18% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 56.15% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (0.032999999999994 0.03)46.84% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)69.09% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (0.137 0.14)29.12% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (0.167 0.17)65.05% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)20.79% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (-0.107 -0.11)53.44% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Monza 29.97%
    Napoli 45.18%
    Draw 24.85%
MonzaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 29.97%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.47% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 45.18%

How you voted: Monza vs Napoli

Monza
22.7%
Draw
32.0%
Napoli
45.3%
75
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Napoli
0-0
Monza
Jesus (66'), Di Lorenzo (67'), Gaetano (80'), Mazzarri (81'), Kvaratskhelia (82')
Mazzarri (83')
Pereira (32'), Palladino (33'), Birindelli (50'), Cittadini (79'), Bondo (82')
Maric (90+5')
May 14, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Monza
2-0
Napoli
Mota (18'), Petagna (54')
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Napoli
4-0
Monza
Kvaratskhelia (35', 62'), Osimhen (45+2'), Min-jae (90+3')
Rui (59'), Di Lorenzo (73')

Caprari (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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