Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
42.5% ( -0.39)	24.45% ( 0.07)	33.05% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 58.96% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.22% (

-0.23)

43.78% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.83% (

-0.22)

66.17% (

0.22)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28% (

-0.27)

20.71% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.67% (

-0.42)

53.32% (

0.42)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.36% (

0.08)

25.63% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47% (

0.11)

60.53% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 42.5%

Pogon Szczecin 33.05%

Draw 24.45%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.5%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.45%	1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.05%