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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Empoli logo

Genoa
1 - 1
Empoli

Malinovskyi (37')
Malinovskyi (56'), Vogliacco (86'), Badelj (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Genoa
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 3-4 Sassuolo
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-0 Empoli

Saturday's game may be low-scoring, and Genoa could secure their third straight 1-0 victory on home turf at Empoli's expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawEmpoli
56.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 23.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 20.01% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.84% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)51.58% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)73.37% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (0.0020000000000095 0)18.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (0.0039999999999978 0)49.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.74% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)40.26% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)76.89% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 56.02%
    Empoli 20.01%
    Draw 23.95%
GenoaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 12.49%
2-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 6.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.48%
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 56.02%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 7.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 20.01%

How you voted: Genoa vs Empoli

Genoa
78.6%
Draw
7.1%
Empoli
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 28
Genoa
0-0
Empoli
Blessin (34'), Sturaro (41'), Yeboah (45+1'), Portanova (49'), Rovella (86')
Verre (37'), Luperto (43'), Bandinelli (70')
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Empoli
2-2
Genoa
Di Francesco (62'), Zurkowski (72')
Criscito (13' pen.), Bianchi (89')
Rovella (27'), Sturaro (64'), Masiello (74'), Vasquez (83')
Jan 28, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Empoli
1-3
Genoa
Di Lorenzo (63')
Rasmussen (61')
Kouame (18'), Lazovic (70'), Sanabria (73')
Bessa (39'), Rolon (58')
Aug 26, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Genoa
2-1
Empoli
Piatek (6'), Kouame (18')
Spolli (45'), Criscito (52'), Zukanovic (59')
Mraz (90')
Silvestre (85'), Krunic (90')
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Empoli
0-2
Genoa

Bellusci (36'), Maccarone (63'), Diousse (79')
Ntcham (89'), Hiljemark (90')
Rigoni (18'), Pinilla (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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