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Championship header 2

League Two
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 1pm UK
Blundell Park
Bradford City

Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Bradford

Thompson (55')
Hume (37'), Andrews (85'), Rodgers (90+2')
Hume (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smallwood (90+3' pen.)
Oyegoke (53'), Kavanagh (56'), Platt (67'), Wright (80'), Kelly (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Grimsby Town
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Bradford City

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Tranmere
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 0-1 Bradford City

 Grimsby have failed to beat Bradford City in any of the last 20 meetings between the two, with their last victory coming as a 2-0 home victory in October 1998, and we expect that long barren spell to continue. Bradford comfortably won 2-0 in their last outing against Tranmere Rovers, and we expect them to build on that victory with another three points at Blundell Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawBradford City
26% (0.672 0.67) 23.44% (0.336 0.34) 50.56% (-1.002 -1)
Both teams to score 57.87% (-0.476 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.81% (-0.937 -0.94)43.19% (0.942 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.41% (-0.93000000000001 -0.93)65.59% (0.935 0.94)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (0.028000000000006 0.03)30.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (0.031999999999996 0.03)66.27% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (-0.711 -0.71)17.18% (0.716 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.57% (-1.27 -1.27)47.44% (1.275 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 26%
    Bradford City 50.56%
    Draw 23.44%
Grimsby TownDrawBradford City
2-1 @ 6.56% (0.124 0.12)
1-0 @ 6.21% (0.258 0.26)
2-0 @ 3.72% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 26%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.18% (0.212 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.162 0.16)
0-2 @ 8.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.66% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-3 @ 4.72% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 50.56%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Bradford

Grimsby Town
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Bradford City
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2023 7.30pm
Group Stage
Grimsby Town
1-2
Bradford
Pyke (18')
Rodgers (90+2')
Kelly (16'), Osadebe (48')
Kelly (3'), McDonald (59')
Osadebe (90+2')
Sep 9, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Bradford
1-1
Grimsby Town
Gilliead (89')
Kelly (6'), Afoka (90+3')
Rose (43')
Eisa (8'), Rodgers (32'), Amos (34'), Conteh (53')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 39
Bradford
3-2
Grimsby Town
Gilliead (7'), Walker (62'), Cook (81')
Holohan (23' pen.), Smith (44')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Grimsby Town
0-0
Bradford
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Bradford
1-0
Grimsby Town
O'Connor (42')
O'Connor (70'), Donaldson (76')

Habergham (38'), Williams (44'), Hanson (90+3')
Payne (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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