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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Bradford City |
26% ( 0.67) | 23.44% ( 0.34) | 50.56% ( -1) |
Both teams to score 57.87% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.81% ( -0.94) | 43.19% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.41% ( -0.93) | 65.59% ( 0.94) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.87% ( 0.03) | 30.13% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.73% ( 0.03) | 66.27% ( -0.03) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% ( -0.71) | 17.18% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.57% ( -1.27) | 47.44% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Bradford City |
2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 26% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | BarrowBarrow | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Gillingham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Notts County | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
9 | Port Vale | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
10 | Chesterfield | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
11 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Grimsby Town | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
17 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
19 | MK Dons | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
24 | Morecambe | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 |
> League Two Full Table |