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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | MK Dons |
43.33% ( 0.39) | 25.48% ( -0.1) | 31.19% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 54.69% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.99% ( 0.32) | 49.01% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.9% ( 0.29) | 71.09% ( -0.3) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% ( 0.33) | 22.54% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.87% ( 0.49) | 56.12% ( -0.5) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% ( -0.04) | 29.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.63% ( -0.05) | 65.37% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.33% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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