League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Feb 2, 2021 at 6pm UK

The Energy Check County Ground

Swindon
1 - 0
Wigan

Pitman (17')
Palmer (54'), Thompson (84')
Conroy (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jones (52'), Merrie (78')

Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Wigan Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Wigan Athletic
40.5%	26.57%	32.92%

Both teams to score 51.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.96%

53.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.37%

74.62%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.24%

25.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.31%

60.68%

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76%

30.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59%

66.4%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 40.5%

Wigan Athletic 32.92%

Draw 26.57%

Swindon Town	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.5%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 9.31% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.31% Total : 32.92%