Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
for
Monday, December 9 at 8pm in League One
for
We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Northampton Town
With both teams having got wins on the board lately, this could be a higher-quality fixture than maybe it would have been a few weeks ago. Nevertheless, we are backing Rotherham to come through with the three points, potentially through a late goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Northampton Town |
60.91% ( 0.01) | 22.73% ( -0) | 16.36% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.01% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.06% ( 0.01) | 51.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.31% ( 0.01) | 73.69% ( -0.01) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( 0.01) | 16.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.52% ( 0.01) | 46.48% ( -0.01) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0) | 44.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.22% ( 0) | 80.78% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.79% Total : 60.91% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.31% 0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.15% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.47% Total : 16.36% |
