League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Nov 17, 2020 at 7pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
0 - 2
Crewe

Shodipo (67'), Clare (78'), Rodriguez (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mandron (28'), Dale (90+2')
Offord (68'), Dale (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
48.75%	25.59%	25.65%

Both teams to score 50.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.44%

52.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.78%

74.21%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.43%

21.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.34%

54.66%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.58%

35.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.82%

72.18%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 48.74%

Crewe Alexandra 25.65%

Draw 25.59%

Oxford United	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.99% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 48.74%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 7.93% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.01% Total : 25.65%