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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Cheltenham
2 - 2
Charlton

Keena (50'), May (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fraser (34'), Payne (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 0-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-2 Charlton Athletic

Cheltenham head into the game in good form, having comprehensively defeated ninth-placed Wycombe Wanderers in their last match, but they have won just one of their last four home games. Considering just eight points separate the two sides in the standings, we expect the most likely result to be a draw, with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, given Charlton's poor defensive record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawCharlton Athletic
39.65% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 26.26% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 34.08% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.06% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04)51.54% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (0.032 0.03)73.33% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)25.52% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)60.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (0.076999999999998 0.08)28.75% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (0.094000000000001 0.09)64.59% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 39.65%
    Charlton Athletic 34.08%
    Draw 26.26%
Cheltenham TownDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 39.65%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.08%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Charlton

Cheltenham Town
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Charlton Athletic
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Charlton
0-1
Cheltenham
May (84')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-1
Charlton
Nlundulu (43')
Wright (62'), Thomas (67'), Nlundulu (68')
Aneke (90+4')
Aneke (45'), Inniss (68')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 7
Charlton
1-2
Cheltenham
Leko (59')
Famewo (87'), Stockley (90+3')
Blair (6'), Perry (33')
Long (90+3')
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
Round One
Cheltenham
1-0
Charlton
Pell (17')
Holman (61'), Jennings (91')

Fox (76'), Crofts (94'), Jackson (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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