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League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Cheltenham
2 - 2
Charlton

Keena (50'), May (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fraser (34'), Payne (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Wycombe 0-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-2 Charlton Athletic

 Cheltenham head into the game in good form, having comprehensively defeated ninth-placed Wycombe Wanderers in their last match, but they have won just one of their last four home games. Considering just eight points separate the two sides in the standings, we expect the most likely result to be a draw, with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, given Charlton's poor defensive record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawCharlton Athletic
39.65% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 26.26% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 34.08% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.06% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04)51.54% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (0.032 0.03)73.33% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)25.52% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)60.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (0.076999999999998 0.08)28.75% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (0.094000000000001 0.09)64.59% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 39.65%
    Charlton Athletic 34.08%
    Draw 26.26%
Cheltenham TownDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 39.65%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.08%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Charlton

Cheltenham Town
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Charlton Athletic
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Charlton
0-1
Cheltenham
May (84')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-1
Charlton
Nlundulu (43')
Wright (62'), Thomas (67'), Nlundulu (68')
Aneke (90+4')
Aneke (45'), Inniss (68')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 7
Charlton
1-2
Cheltenham
Leko (59')
Famewo (87'), Stockley (90+3')
Blair (6'), Perry (33')
Long (90+3')
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
Round One
Cheltenham
1-0
Charlton
Pell (17')
Holman (61'), Jennings (91')

Fox (76'), Crofts (94'), Jackson (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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