League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 25

Jun 26, 2023 at 8pm UK

Tallaght Stadium

Shamrock
1 - 0
Derry

Gaffney (27')
Kenny (54'), Gannon (68'), Kavanagh (78'), Cleary (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Graydon (33'), O'Reilly (71'), Kavanagh (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Shamrock Rovers and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Bohemians 2-2 Shamrock
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derry City

All competitions

Last Game: Derry 2-0 Cork City
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

We said: Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Derry City

In what will be a tensely-fought affair between the top two, there may not be much between the sides. Shamrock will be determined to avoid defeat at all costs to maintain a healthy margin between themselves and those below them, despite having home advantage here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.

Result
Shamrock Rovers	Draw	Derry City
51.77% ( -0.09)	24.39% ( 0.03)	23.83% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 52.49% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.75% (

-0.08)

49.24% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.69% (

-0.07)

71.3% (

0.07)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81% (

-0.06)

19% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.44% (

-0.1)

50.56% (

0.11)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.8% (

0.01)

35.2% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.05% (

0.01)

71.95% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Shamrock Rovers 51.77%

Derry City 23.83%

Draw 24.39%

Shamrock Rovers	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 51.77%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 23.83%