League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 34
Oct 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park (Dundalk)
Dundalk0 - 2Derry
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Galway United 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Derry 1-1 Sligo
Monday, October 14 at 7.15pm in League of Ireland Premier
Monday, October 14 at 7.15pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
46
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 16.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Dundalk win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Derry City |
16.89% ( 0.73) | 23.77% ( 0.31) | 59.33% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.15% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
