Dundalk
2 - 1
Derry

Kelly (36'), Hoban (56' pen.)
Leahy (51'), McEleney (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Toal (60')
Malone (41'), Lafferty (44'), Cole (56'), Thomson (80')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 25.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
Dundalk	Draw	Derry City
49.14%	25.68%	25.17%

Both teams to score 49.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.73%

53.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.18%

74.82%

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3%

21.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.15%

54.85%

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.78%

36.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.99%

73.01%

Score Analysis

Dundalk 49.14%

Derry City 25.17%

Draw 25.68%

Dundalk	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 9.17% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.14%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.17%