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PSV
KNVB Beker | Semi-Finals
Feb 26, 2025 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadion
Go Ahead Eagles

PSV
1 - 2
Go Ahead Eagles

Perisic (59' pen.)
Boscagli (31'), Perisic (67')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nauber (25'), Edvardsen (27')
Smit (64'), Edvardsen (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's KNVB Beker clash between PSV Eindhoven and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 3-1 Juventus
Wednesday, February 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, February 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles

Given their faltering Eredivisie title campaign, success in this competition for PSV has taken on new importance. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to come through with a win and clean sheet, potentially netting in either half to ease out the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 12.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawGo Ahead Eagles
71.5% (5.915 5.91) 15.68% (-2.398 -2.4) 12.81% (-3.505 -3.51)
Both teams to score 61.92% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.05% (4.084 4.08)26.95% (-4.072 -4.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.57% (4.999 5)47.43% (-4.987 -4.99)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.32% (2.235 2.24)6.68% (-2.223 -2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.25% (5.693 5.69)24.74% (-5.681 -5.68)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-1.614 -1.61)33.64% (1.626 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-1.801 -1.8)70.29% (1.813 1.81)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 71.5%
    Go Ahead Eagles 12.81%
    Draw 15.68%
PSV EindhovenDrawGo Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.534 -0.53)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 8.09% (0.428 0.43)
3-0 @ 7.42% (0.699 0.7)
1-0 @ 6.08% (-0.814 -0.81)
4-1 @ 5.47% (0.841 0.84)
4-0 @ 5.02% (0.956 0.96)
3-2 @ 4.4% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.98% (0.343 0.34)
5-1 @ 2.96% (0.721 0.72)
5-0 @ 2.72% (0.751 0.75)
5-2 @ 1.61% (0.337 0.34)
6-1 @ 1.34% (0.432 0.43)
6-0 @ 1.23% (0.434 0.43)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 71.5%
1-1 @ 6.62% (-1.228 -1.23)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-0 @ 2.25% (-0.603 -0.6)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 15.68%
1-2 @ 3.61% (-0.863 -0.86)
0-1 @ 2.45% (-0.799 -0.8)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.516 -0.52)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.387 -0.39)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 12.81%

How you voted: PSV vs Go Ahead Eagles

PSV Eindhoven
Draw
Go Ahead Eagles
PSV Eindhoven
93.0%
Draw
4.7%
Go Ahead Eagles
2.3%
43
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 4
PSV
3-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Til (11'), Lozano (27'), Veerman (63')

Nauber (73'), Deijl (88'), Kramer (90+5')
Mar 8, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 25
Go Ahead Eagles
0-1
PSV
Dest (10')
Obispo (22')
Obispo (88')
Sep 27, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 3
PSV
3-0
Go Ahead Eagles
De Jong (21', 53'), Til (49')

Adekanye (38'), Deijl (72')
Jan 28, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
PSV
2-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Veerman (14'), El Ghazi (64')
Aug 13, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
Go Ahead Eagles
2-5
PSV
Lidberg (14'), Valaker Edvardsen (80')
Fontan (74')
Deijl (32')
De Jong (3'), Simons (45+2', 76'), Obispo (45+9'), Veerman (89')
rhs 2.0
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