MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 05:19:19| >> :120:39341:39341:
De Graafschap
KNVB Beker | Round of 16
Jan 16, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion De Vijverberg
Heracles Almelo

De Graafschap
vs.
Heracles

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's KNVB Beker clash between De Graafschap and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 2-1 De Graafschap
Sunday, December 22 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Heracles 1-1 Sparta
Saturday, January 11 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We say: De Graafschap 1-2 Heracles

With both teams out of form, this could prove to be a nervy affair between clubs looking to move closer to a surprise place in the final. Despite their winless streak in the Eredivisie, we feel that Heracles will have enough about them to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a De Graafschap win with a probability of 60.84%. A win for Heracles has a probability of 20.06% and a draw has a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Heracles win is 1-2 (5.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.94%).

Result
De GraafschapDrawHeracles
60.84% (2.205 2.21) 19.1% (-0.772 -0.77) 20.06% (-1.431 -1.43)
Both teams to score 65.76% (0.601 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.57% (1.741 1.74)29.43% (-1.74 -1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.5% (2.091 2.09)50.5% (-2.089 -2.09)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.46% (1.06 1.06)9.54% (-1.0581 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.05% (2.429 2.43)31.95% (-2.429 -2.43)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69% (-0.188 -0.19)27.31% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (-0.246 -0.25)62.75% (0.247 0.25)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 60.84%
    Heracles 20.06%
    Draw 19.1%
De GraafschapDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.243 0.24)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.12% (-0.329 -0.33)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.216 0.22)
3-2 @ 4.75% (0.134 0.13)
4-1 @ 4.3% (0.329 0.33)
4-0 @ 3.31% (0.27 0.27)
4-2 @ 2.79% (0.2 0.2)
5-1 @ 2.02% (0.238 0.24)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.191 0.19)
5-2 @ 1.31% (0.149 0.15)
4-3 @ 1.21% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 60.84%
1-1 @ 7.94% (-0.473 -0.47)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-0 @ 2.6% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-3 @ 2.05% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 19.1%
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.337 -0.34)
0-1 @ 3.38% (-0.369 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.19% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 20.06%

Who will win Thursday's KNVB Beker clash between De Graafschap and Heracles?

De Graafschap
Draw
Heracles
De Graafschap
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Heracles
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
De Graafschap
5-3
Heracles
Haen (4'), Onal (15'), Neghli (59'), Fortes (84'), Benschop (90+5' pen.)
Rente (8'), Schoofs (30'), Sonnenberg (81')
Oct 7, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 10
Heracles
3-2
De Graafschap
Hansson (5'), Armenteros (49'), Bruns (75')
De Jong (18'), Gravenberch (71')
Mar 30, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 27
De Graafschap
1-2
Heracles
Benschop (16')
Straalman (56'), El Jebli (86')
Kuwas (66'), Duarte (70')
van den Buijs (62'), Peterson (89')
Sep 21, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 6
Heracles
4-0
De Graafschap
Vet (27' og.), Peterson (58'), Kuwas (81'), Vermeij (92')
Dalmau (50'), van Hintum (73')

Klaasen (52')
Serrarens (88')
Jan 23, 2016 5.30pm
Heracles
2-1
De Graafschap
Darri (37'), Bruns (74')
Zomer (17'), Fledderus (73')
Driver
Peters (61'), Propper (90')
rhs 2.0
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