Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 15, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio AXA
Braga2 - 1Lusitano Evora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Braga
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Lusitano Evora 3-2 AVS
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Braga 3-0 Lusitano Evora 1911
Lusitano have already overcome two top-flight teams in this competition, but they are now set to face a Braga side that will be determined to make amends for their Taca da Liga disappointment last week. The hosts are massive favourites in this contest and we feel they will book their spot in the quarter-final with a fairly straightforward victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 82.98%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Lusitano Evora 1911 had a probability of 5.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 4-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.16%), while for a Lusitano Evora 1911 win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Lusitano Evora 1911 |
82.98% ( 0.09) | 11.13% ( -0.03) | 5.9% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.99% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.25% ( -0.13) | 27.75% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.57% ( -0.17) | 48.43% ( 0.17) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.14% ( -0.01) | 4.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 80.44% ( -0.03) | 19.56% ( 0.03) |
| Lusitano Evora 1911 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.49% ( -0.29) | 48.51% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.4% ( -0.21) | 83.6% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 82.97%
Lusitano Evora 1911 5.9%
Draw 11.13%
| Braga | Draw | Lusitano Evora 1911 |
| 3-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 4.13% Total : 82.97% | 1-1 @ 5.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 11.13% | 1-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.33% Total : 5.9% |
How you voted: Braga vs Lusitano Evora
Braga
88.2%Draw
5.9%Lusitano Evora 1911
5.9%17
