KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals

Feb 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Cambuurstadion

Cambuur
3 - 1
Vitesse

Smit (35', 88' pen.), De Jong (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hadj Moussa (79')
Oroz (59'), Hendriks (74'), Hadj Moussa (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's KNVB Beker clash between Cambuur and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambuur

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: Willem II 1-1 Cambuur
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Vitesse

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: Vitesse 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, February 4 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both teams will feel that they deserve to be favourites for this contest, and we can see the value in backing a win for the second-tier side. However, Vitesse have improved defensively of late, leading us to predict a hard-fought win for the Eredivisie team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.

Result
Cambuur	Draw	Vitesse
51.29% ( -0)	22.22% ( -0.03)	26.49% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 62.67% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.94% (

0.18)

37.07% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.74% (

0.19)

59.26% (

-0.19)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.32% (

0.07)

14.69% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.14% (

0.12)

42.86% (

-0.11)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.46% (

0.12)

26.54% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.25% (

0.16)

61.75% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Cambuur 51.29%

Vitesse 26.49%

Draw 22.22%

Cambuur	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.26% Total : 51.29%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.22%	1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.49%