MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 17:01:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 10am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
1 - 3
Machida Zelvia

Felipe (9')
Handa (31')
Handa (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duke (45+2'), Fujio (61' pen.), Sento (69')
Araki (43'), Shimoda (52'), Suzuki (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Machida Zelvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Machida Zelvia

With vital ground at stake in the race for the J1 League title, we are expecting a hard-fought affair between Gamba and Machida at Panasonic Stadium on Sunday. The Black and Blues are enjoying a marvellous unbeaten run that we feel will continue this weekend, but Zelvia should be good enough to snatch a point in Suita. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
36.3% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 27.65% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 36.05% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.88% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.08% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)56.92% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.17% (-0.106 -0.11)77.83% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)30.01% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)66.13% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)30.17% (0.083000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)66.32% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 36.29%
    Machida Zelvia 36.05%
    Draw 27.64%
Gamba OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.56% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 36.29%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.05% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 36.05%

How you voted: Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia

Gamba Osaka
52.0%
Draw
32.0%
Machida Zelvia
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 6am
Gameweek 1
Machida Zelvia
1-1
Gamba Osaka
Suzuki (17' pen.)
Sento (10'), Tani (90+2')
Sento (60')
Usami (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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