Greek Superleague | Gameweek 4

Sep 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis

Panathinaikos
2 - 1
AEK Athens

Cantalapiedra (43' pen.), Sporar (45+7' pen.)
Brignoli (36'), Sporar (45+5'), Gnezda Cerin (56')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pineda (36')
Pineda (36'), Hajsafi (42'), Tzavellas (45+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Panathinaikos and AEK Athens.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.

Result
Panathinaikos	Draw	AEK Athens
39.78% ( 0.11)	28.87% ( 0.14)	31.34% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 44.61% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.14% (

-0.52)

61.86% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.37% (

-0.39)

81.63% (

0.39)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63% (

-0.19)

30.36% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.44% (

-0.23)

66.55% (

0.23)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.07% (

-0.47)

35.93% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.29% (

-0.48)

72.71% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Panathinaikos 39.78%

AEK Athens 31.34%

Draw 28.87%

Panathinaikos	Draw	AEK Athens
1-0 @ 13% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 39.78%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.87%	0-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.99% Total : 31.34%