Greek Superleague | Gameweek 4

Sep 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis

Asteras
0 - 2
Aris

Castano (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gray (20'), Mbakata (60')
Leismann (10'), Brabec (55')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Asteras Tripolis and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.

Result
Asteras Tripolis	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
32.99% ( 0.02)	30.03% ( 0.01)	36.99% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 41.93% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.71% (

-0.01)

65.29% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.91% (

-0.01)

84.09% (

0.01)

Asteras Tripolis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.4% (

36.6% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.61% (

73.39% (

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.14% (

-0.02)

33.87% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.47% (

-0.02)

70.53% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Asteras Tripolis 32.98%

Aris Thessaloniki 36.99%

Draw 30.02%

Asteras Tripolis	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.78% 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.89% Total : 32.98%	1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.02%	0-1 @ 13.42% 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.99%