Uniao de Leiria

2 - 1

Tondela

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uniao de Leiria win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uniao de Leiria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uniao de Leiria would win this match.