Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 75.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Heist had a probability of 9.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.08%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Heist win it was 2-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.