Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 7
May 4, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
Mechelen2 - 4Gent
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Gent.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mechelen 3-0 Leuven
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 3-2 Westerlo
Saturday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Goals
for
for
70
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Gent |
31.86% ( -0.01) | 24.13% ( 0.05) | 44.01% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.62% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.29% ( -0.24) | 42.7% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.89% ( -0.24) | 65.1% ( 0.24) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( -0.12) | 25.84% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.19% ( -0.17) | 60.81% ( 0.17) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( -0.12) | 19.6% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.46% ( -0.19) | 51.54% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Mechelen 31.86%
Gent 44.01%
Draw 24.12%
| Mechelen | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 7.56% 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.86% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 44.01% |
