Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Aris Limassol win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heidenheim in this match.